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Economics

Congressman Ron Paul questions whether there’s gold at Fort Knox, NY Fed

Not many people are aware that on the 5th of April 1933, the US citizens were instructed to deliver up all their gold (money at the time) to the Federal Reserve and get less in purchasing power back. This confiscation of wealth would make even Emperor Nero or Henry VIII blush with its boldness.

Congressman Ron Paul has always campaigned for the Fed to open its books and have this gold counted as there are rumours that all of it is not there. An open audit would settle the matter. The Fed refuses.  You can draw your own conclusions from this.

I reader sent this link to me:

By Michael O’Brien – 08/30/10 10:21 AM ET

Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) said he plans to introduce legislation next year to force an audit of U.S. holdings of gold.

Paul, a longtime critic of the Federal Reserve and U.S. monetary policy, said he believes it’s “a possibility” that there might not actually be any gold in the vaults of Fort Knox or the New York Federal Reserve bank.

The libertarian lawmaker told Kitco News, a website tracking news about precious metals, that an audit was necessary to determine how much the U.S. maintains in gold reserves in case the government were to use gold to back the dollar.

“If there was no question about the gold being there, you think they would be anxious to prove gold is there,” he said.

“Our Federal Reserve admits to nothing, and they should prove all the gold is there. There is a reason to be suspicious and even if you are not suspicious why wouldn’t you have an audit?

“I think it is a possibility,” Paul said when asked if there was truth to rumors that there was actually no gold at Ft. Knox or the New York Fed.

Paul had been one of the Republicans to spearhead a broader audit of the Fed as part of the Wall Street reform bill passed through Congress this year. The provision, which was weakened somewhat in the final version, found Paul joining with a number of Democrats to require the Fed to open its books and outline its assets and liabilities.

The gold reserves, which Paul’s new bill would audit, are generally seen as a guarantee on a nation’s currency, but the U.S. moved the dollar away from being tied to the price of gold in 1972.

Paul stopped short of calling for the reinstitution of the gold standard and instead called for the government to allow the use of hard currency — gold and silver tender — alongside the use of the dollar.

“If people get tired of using the paper standard they can deal in gold or silver,” he said.

Desperate times lead to desperate measures and on a side note, I wonder what is being planned now. I remember being told at the start of my business career by a wise old multi millionaire, “remember, when the banks or the government need money, they can only come after you if you have money,” i.e. they can’t confiscate what you do not have.

Economics

Ben Davies: Silver ready to explode

In news which will please the Mogambo Guru, in a recent King World radio interview Ben Davies, of Hinde Capital here in England, predicted that silver is about to go through a price revolution. You can read Hinde Capital’s own report about that, here:

The 12-minute Radio interview is here:

Mr Davies actually dared to employ the word ‘Austrian’ in his situational explanation, thus demonstrating high intelligence, discernment, and refinement. This deep level of insight was further displayed by his disentanglement of the complex picture underlying the extraordinarily complicated silver markets. Here is a very brief synopsis of his fascinating exposition:

  • Since Mao’s edict banning the personal holding of gold and silver ended in 2003, China has been a major player in both the growth of demand for gold and silver — Davies believes that China may even move into a much greater usage of silver coinage, basing this move upon the ‘Silver Panda’ coin
  • [The word 'Yuan', one of several names for Chinese currency, itself derives from the Mandarin word for 'Round', which symbolises the ancient Chinese reliance upon round silver coins — the Japanese word 'Yen' also probably derives from 'Yuan', indicating a close historical connection to commodity money in the Eastern cultural mindset, which augurs well for the eventual re-adoption of commodity money in the moribund West, when we see how well the East does with it]
  • Silver has been held down like a cork underwater, particularly because of its use in complex short future and option derivatives positions, but this cork may be about to be let go as these derivatives markets are cleared up
  • [The historical ratio between gold and silver was generally around the 15:1 mark, which could indicate a forthcoming Great Leap Forward in the price of silver, especially if the Chinese move steadily towards a standardised silver coinage and abandon paper completely, with the ratio currently at approximately 65:1]
  • Davies also believes there isn’t enough silver to go around because of industrial demand, with big moves up in the silver price from September onwards

Economics

HM Treasury’s Press Release on Reforms to Financial Regulation

A reader has sent in his thoughts about the recent proposals to reform the regulatory apparatus of the UK banking system:

Last Friday I had a quick view at the report by HM Treasure on a proposal to reshuffle the institutional setting for financial system regulation and oversight in the UK. The introduction (4 pages) is interesting but sometimes depressing. It openly recognised that UK authorities (Bank of England and FSA) failed to see the problems coming and to react adequately. Good. However, the solution it proposes is not to improve the understanding of the building up of bubbles and imbalances, or to reinvigorate the political will so it can make decisions even if those affect the banking status, or to stop trying to achieve the unachievable (a big apparatus able to foresee everything in the system as a whole), but… just rearranging chairs… (every one else in the world, G20, ECB, FED, is rearranging chairs too, so this reshuffling is quite mainstream). However, maybe in the case of the UK there is a possibility to introduce sound thinking in this new Bank of England-based structure (and stop the endogamic kind of thinking within current monetary authorities), through the external members of the newly created “Financial Policy Committee”. The report says (p. 17) among other things:

2.43 It will be important to ensure that the external members of the FPC are able to provide sufficient levels of expertise and challenge to the Committee’s deliberations – this will not only include experience of banking, but also other financial sectors such as insurance and investment banking and, of course, macroeconomic expertise.

2.44 In addition to the chief executive of the CPMA, the Chancellor will appoint four external members of the FPC using a similar recruitment process to that used for the MPC. The Government will look carefully at the best way to ensure that external members demonstrate ample relevant knowledge and experience and the ability to work constructively in a committee environment, without conflicts of interest that would prevent them participating fully in the work of the Committee.”

My take on this is that the external members of the FPC have to be radically different in make up than the internal members of the current MPC i.e. usually a academic, or some who has come from that background. Entrepreneurs, great business leaders and representatives from the SME sector , all who operate at the coal face would have more of an idea about what is and is not actually going on in the economy, better still, why not think about reforming the whole system anyway so we do not rely of 20 or so central planners to determine the value of our very currency, arguably with language, the foundation of civil , peaceful society.

Above all, if we are only tinkering and not radically reforming, he concluded “please appoint those WHO DID SEE it coming and who have a sound theoretical framework behind it (and kick out those who were clueless…)”

Bravo to that, we can name a number of Austrian School economists and Austrian influenced fund managers and entrepreneurs who could do this job.

Economics

How to create $1.25 TRILLION in 15 months and spend it all

http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2010/08/26/129451895/how-to-spend-1-25-trillion

Cranky money policy or real economics?

Is this the start of the decline of the American Imperial Empire we are observing?

Economics

Thomas E. Woods: Cobden on Freedom, Peace, and Trade

[This article, by Thomas E. Woods, Jr., appeared on Mises.org on Friday, the 20th of August, 2010, under the Creative Commons.]


Every student of political economy knows that Adam Smith dealt mercantilist economic ideas a profound intellectual defeat in The Wealth of Nations (1776). The mercantilist had viewed economic interaction as a zero-sum game — that is, the benefit of one party had to come at the expense of the other. Sound economic policy, therefore, involved encouraging a favorable balance of trade (an excess of exports over imports), the acquisition of colonies, and the construction of a powerful navy to secure and maintain access to far-flung markets.

Once Adam Smith and the classical economists had overthrown the mercantilist worldview in the 18th century, it was entirely natural that classical liberals would have expected peace to triumph to the extent that the new teaching became accepted. A philosophy that had viewed economic affairs as characterized by inherent conflict was increasingly giving way to one that emphasized mutual gain and the large-scale social cooperation of the international division of labor. As the various peoples and places of the world concentrated on producing those goods for which they enjoyed some advantage — or, as David Ricardo observed, even simply where they enjoyed the least disadvantage — the result would be greater wealth and a higher standard of living for everyone, as the entire world reaped the benefits of the particular advantages of a multiplicity of locales.

In the 19th century, the great classical liberal Richard Cobden, the textile manufacturer and British politician who became famous through his campaign against the oppressive Corn Laws, developed this idea still further. The state’s role in the spread of peace and freedom throughout the world was, in his judgment, very minimal. “The progress of freedom,” he once said, “depends more upon the maintenance of peace and the spread of commerce and the diffusion of education than upon the labor of Cabinets or Foreign Offices.”

Cobden’s philosophy had its roots in the previous century of European intellectual history. During the Enlightenment, thinkers impressed by the elegant regularity of phenomena and the beautiful order that Isaac Newton had described in the physical world looked in the social world for similar law-like relationships. And indeed, as Ludwig von Mises explains, the founders of political economy perceived “regularity in the operation of the market.” People came to realize “with astonishment that human actions were open to investigation from other points of view than that of moral judgment. They were compelled to recognize a regularity which they compared to that with which they were already familiar in the field of the natural sciences.”[1]

The analogies to the natural sciences were readily drawn. As Josiah Tucker put it, “The Circulation of Commerce may be conceived to proceed from the Impulse of two distinct Principles of Action in Society, analogous to the Centrifugal and centripetal Powers in the Planetary System.” Adam Smith appealed to this very model, describing prices as “continually gravitating, if one may say so, toward the natural price.”[2]

Although the rise of what might be called economic thought had long preceded the Enlightenment, the attempt to systematize observations of economic activity into a coherent discipline reflected the intellectual life of the 18th and 19th centuries at its best. What economic thinkers found was that prosperity was maximized when the free interaction of individuals was hampered as little as possible, and that ill-considered efforts to improve the economic wellbeing of certain groups were bound to have deleterious consequences, often exactly contrary to the stated wishes of their proponents.

As Mises points out, many of these thinkers found the hand of divine providence in the beautiful order and harmony created by the free market and the division of labor. Enlightenment thinkers viewed the regularity of natural phenomena as “an emanation of the decrees of Providence,” and when these same figures discovered a like regularity in human action and the economic sphere, they “were prepared to interpret it likewise as evidence of the paternal care of the Creator of the universe.” “Observe the functioning of the market system,” some classical liberals put it, “and you will discover in it the finger of God.”[3]

The 19th-century classical-liberal economist and writer Frédéric Bastiat described the consequences of this insight in his posthumously published Economic Harmonies:

For if there are general laws that act independently of written laws, and whose action needs merely to be regularized by the latter, we must study these general laws; they can be the object of scientific investigation, and therefore there is such a thing as the science of political economy. If, on the contrary, society is a human invention, if men are only inert matter to which a great genius, as Rousseau says, must impart feeling and will, movement and life, then there is no such science as political economy: there is only an indefinite number of possible and contingent arrangements, and the fate of nations depends on the founding father to whom chance has entrusted their destiny.[4]

It was this crucial discovery of natural harmonies in the social world, thought to be analogous to those of the physical universe, that led so many thinkers to the conclusion that the economy could run itself, and that forcible intervention into this elegant order would produce more harm than good.

At least in the economic realm, therefore, the state came to be seen as something artificial, a human contrivance whose activity threatened to interfere with the beneficent workings of the market order. When Cobden plays down its significance in the spread of peace and freedom, therefore, and looks instead to the mutually beneficial and self-regulating activity of ordinary people, he is partaking in a profoundly significant chapter in European intellectual history.

To be sure, there was some exaggeration in Cobden’s sweeping claim that free trade would ultimately lead to world peace. He spoke of free trade as “drawing men together, thrusting aside the antagonisms of race, and creeds and language, and uniting us in the bonds of eternal peace.” It would “change the face of the world, so as to introduce a system of government entirely distinct from that which now prevails.” Cobden ultimately believed that the desire for mighty empires, as well as for great armies and navies, would “die away … when man becomes one family, and freely exchanges the fruits of his labor with his brother man.”[5]

If he was claiming that free commerce among nations could prevent the outbreak of war, World War I would provide sufficient refutation, since prior to that conflict the belligerents had indeed enjoyed a considerable volume of trade with each other. Moreover, Cobden certainly underestimated the influence of religion, ideology, and like factors in the outbreak of international conflict. It is not clear what an appreciation of the benefits of the international division of labor could have contributed to preventing, say, the Iran–Iraq War of the 1980s, in which the Iranians threatened to export their Islamic revolution to Iraq and the Iraqi government resolved to resist.

The great Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises was convinced that more than merely institutional change was necessary in order for war to be prevented in the future; ideas and philosophies had to change.

Only one thing can conquer war — the liberal attitude of mind which can see nothing in war but destruction and annihilation, and which can never wish to bring about a war, because it regards war as injurious even to the victors. Where Liberalism prevails, there will never be war. But where there are other opinions concerning the profitability and injuriousness of war, no rules or regulations, however cunningly devised, can make war impossible.[6]

Professor Richard Ebeling of Hillsdale College agrees with Mises. “Free trade cannot prevent war when men no longer believe in peace,” he writes.

Free trade is premised on the idea that human relationships should be voluntary and based on mutual consent. It is grounded on the understanding that the material, cultural, and spiritual improvements in the circumstances and conditions of man are best served when the members of the global community of mankind specialize their activities in a world-encompassing social system of division of labor. It requires the conviction that the moral condition of individual men and mankind as a whole is fostered the most when people acquire the things of the world that they desire by peaceful exchange rather than by theft and plunder; and when men attempt to change the way their fellow human beings think and live and act by using the methods of reason, persuasion, and example instead of through the use of compulsion, power, terror, and death.[7]

But even if later classical liberals became skeptical of the more extreme claims that had been made on behalf of free trade, there was a great deal of truth to Cobden’s contention. Consider, for instance, the year leading up to the recent conflict with Iraq. Some experts contend that it was precisely this mutually beneficial trade that contributed to the reluctance of Iraq’s neighbors to endorse war. Between 2000 and 2002, Iraq signed some eleven free-trade agreements, most with other Middle Eastern countries. “Most of the Middle Eastern countries who are opposed to the war on Iraq are motivated by the fear that such a war will harm them economically,” observed Nimrod Raphaeli of the Middle East Media Research Institute in Washington.[8]

Paul Sullivan, who specializes in Middle Eastern issues at the National Defense University in Washington, noted in September 2002 that in addition to popular opposition to a US-led war on Iraq, the economic ties that Iraq had carefully cultivated in the region are “bringing many of these countries closer to Iraq.”[9]

An appreciation of the international division of labor and the mutual gains from trade can indeed contribute to a more peaceful world, as people and nations come to understand that prosperity does not depend on aggression and military might. Moreover, as more people realize that the economic rationale behind imperialism — namely, an alleged need to secure “markets” to dispose of surplus goods that cannot be absorbed by the domestic market — is fundamentally fallacious, such adventures must lose some of their luster as well.

A nation may still engage in imperialism after the alleged economic benefits are shown to be chimerical, however, and even as it becomes clear that the acquisition of a far-flung empire may in fact prove to be a net economic liability. If a nation believes that the extension of its influence over other peoples is a matter of national prestige, merely economic arguments will not dissuade it from its aggressive course. If statism or a belligerent nationalism rules men’s minds, the appeal to reason may well be in vain. But it is ultimately only through reason that such destructive philosophies can be successfully defeated.

The truth of Cobden’s statement that the spread of freedom owes more to other factors than to the work of cabinets and foreign offices is also supported by a study of the rise of freedom in the Western world. That rise of freedom occurred not as a result of the positive action of governments, but precisely because of the absence of a strong central authority in Europe. Following the dissolution of the Roman Empire, no continent-wide empire took its place. (The relatively short-lived empire of Charlemagne was far less expansive in scope than the Roman Empire had been.) “Instead of experiencing the hegemony of a universal empire,” writes historian Ralph Raico, “Europe evolved into a mosaic of kingdoms, principalities, city-states, ecclesiastical domains, and other entities.”[10]

Jean Baechler has argued that it was the decentralized nature of European political life, beginning in the Middle Ages, that contributed to the development of liberty. The multiplicity of jurisdictions meant that the prince risked losing population (and his tax base) if he engaged in excessive taxation or interference in his people’s economic lives.[11] “The constant expansion of the market,” Baechler writes, “both in extensiveness and in intensity, was the result of an absence of a political order extending over the whole of Western Europe.” The expansion of capitalism “owes its origin and raison d’être to political anarchy.”[12]

Moreover, the very idea of sovereignty, according to which there must exist a single, sovereign voice, competent and forceful enough to make its will felt throughout society, was essentially alien to medieval political thought and practice. In his classic study of Cardinal Wolsey, Alfred Pollard described the decentralization of power that characterized medieval England — and, by extension, western Europe at large:

There were the liberties of the church, based on law superior to that of the King; there was the law of nature, graven in the hearts of men and not to be erased by royal writs; and there was the prescription of immemorial local and feudal custom stereotyping a variety of jurisdictions and impeding the operation of a single will. There was no sovereignty capable of eradicating bondage by royal edict or act of parliament, regulating borough franchises, reducing to uniformity the various uses of the church, or enacting a principle of succession to the throne. The laws which ruled men’s lives were the customs of their trade, locality, or estate and not the positive law of a legislator; and the whole sum of English parliamentary legislation for the whole Middle Ages is less in bulk than that of the single reign of Henry VIII.[13]

The great sociologist Robert Nisbet described medieval society as “one of the most loosely organized societies in history.”[14] Political leaders who desired centralization found themselves up against the historic liberties of towns, guilds, universities, the Church, and similar corporate bodies, all of whom guarded their (often hard-won) liberties with great vigilance, and all of whom would have been baffled at the modern idea that a single sovereign voice, whether of a king or of “the people,” could on its own authority have redefined or overturned those rights.[15]

In such a society, where competing legal jurisdictions abounded and no single sovereign voice could be found, the king did not make the law but was himself bound by it. Law was something to be discovered, not made, as with the absolute monarchs and parliaments of the modern age.[16]

Today, however, we have reached the point at which an institution called the state essentially defines its own powers. This is a far cry from the medieval model, in which the king possessed certain customary rights, but could not define his own powers at will, or overturn the customary rights of the people or of the various subsidiary bodies of society. “Almost everywhere in Latin Christendom,” writes A.R. Myers, “the principle was, at one time or another, accepted by the rulers that, apart from the normal revenues of the prince, no taxes could be imposed without the consent of parliament.”[17] This point reflects the broader principle that the king could not arbitrarily step beyond the bounds of his customary rights.

How different is the situation today. As Bertrand de Jouvenel observes,

A landlord no longer feels surprised at being compelled to keep a tenant; an employer is no less used to having to raise the wages of his employees in virtue of the decrees of Power. Nowadays it is understood that our subjective rights are precarious and at the good pleasure of authority. But this was an idea which was still new and surprising to the men of the seventeenth century. What they witnessed were the first decisive steps of a revolutionary conception of Power; they saw before their eyes the successful assertion of the right of sovereignty as one which breaks other rights and will soon be regarded as the one foundation of all rights.[18]

The development of Western liberty, therefore, owes a great deal to the decentralized nature of political life in medieval Europe and to the multiplicity of jurisdictions in which people lived and worked. Indeed the development of Western liberty occurred within a context in which the very idea of sovereignty had not yet fully developed. In the absence of a single sovereign voice whose ever-changing word was law, a great civilization was able to develop.

Further confirmation of Cobden’s observation that trade, commerce, and education are likely to do more for the spread of peace and freedom than the labor of cabinets and foreign offices can be found well beyond the confines of the West. The interference of Western governments and aid agencies with the economies of the developing world has formed an unfortunate and destructive chapter in the history of the postwar world. Peace and freedom, said the experts, required massive state intervention in the work of economic development, and considerable transfers of wealth from the West to the Third World. The result, however, was not peace but increasing discord, ill will, and even violence in recipient nations. And far from encouraging human freedom, moreover, Western aid and development strategies all too often trapped their unfortunate victims in the mires of statism and regimentation.

The conventional wisdom during the first few decades following World War II held that without significant infusions of Western aid, the world’s less-developed countries (LDCs) would remain forever mired in poverty. Economic development could not be achieved without outside assistance in the form of government-to-government grants. These countries were said to be trapped in a “vicious circle of poverty” — their low income made impossible the substantial savings necessary to fund the investment and capital accumulation that would ultimately raise incomes.

The great development economist Peter Bauer argued that institutional arrangements and cultural attitudes have played a far more decisive role in determining the economic fates of the various nations than any lack (or otherwise) of physical assets. He pointed to the West as a prime example — its development had occurred not because of an aggressive state presence, but thanks to the institutional factors to which we have already alluded: private property, limited government, and the rule of law.

Hernando de Soto lent overwhelming support to this thesis in his investigation of the poor economic performance of his native Peru. In his celebrated study The Other Path, he concluded that insecure and poorly defined property rights were at the root of much of what ailed his country. Moreover, he also showed the suffocating effects of regulation, a factor almost entirely neglected in this literature. He found, for instance, that it took “the equivalent of 289 work days, 81 meters of forms, and eight overt bribes to legally establish a small clothing factory.”[19]

By the 1980s, the conventional view was in clear retreat. A 1983 study by the World Bank found that rates of economic growth in developing countries fell as market distortions increased, and eleven years later the World Bank drew the same conclusion in a special report on conditions in Africa. Economists E. Dwight Phaup and Bradley Lewis noted what more and more scholars were beginning to concede: “Resource endowment, lucky circumstances, former colonial status, and other similar factors make little difference in the speed with which countries grow economically. But the results of domestic policy choices pervade every economic area.”[20]

Alan Woods, who was appointed to head USAID (United States Agency for International Development) in 1987, echoed these sentiments. In a 1989 report, USAID acknowledged that “only a handful of countries that started receiving U.S. assistance in the 1950s and 1960s has ever graduated from dependent status.” The following year, a draft paper of the Center for Institutional Reform and the Informal Sector at the University of Maryland conceded that USAID had consistently neglected the role of economic “institutions and legal infrastructures.”

Economist Mancur Olson stated the matter directly, pointing out in 1993 that all economically successful countries possessed relatively secure property and contract rights, while all the unsuccessful ones did not.[21] Even a task force during the Clinton administration was forced to concede that “despite decades of foreign assistance, most of Africa and parts of Latin America, Asia and the Middle East are economically worse off today than they were 20 years ago.”[22]

By the end of the Cold War, over $2 trillion in inflation-adjusted dollars had been given to the Third World. Tom Bethell rightly notes that this immense fortune may actually have served to retard economic development, since it inevitably functioned as an emollient that masked the destructive consequences of these governments’ statist policies. It is revealing that South Korea, Taiwan, and Chile, faced with a cutoff in US aid and therefore having little choice, ultimately embraced the free market. Naturally, they prospered.[23]

For decades, Bauer denied that billions in foreign aid were necessary for Third World development, pointing out that there is not “a single instance in history when external donations were required for the economic development of a country.” This only stands to reason. Economic achievement depends on

people’s attributes, attitudes, motivations, mores and political arrangements…. If the conditions for development other than capital are present, the capital required will either be generated locally or be available commercially from abroad to governments or to businesses. If the required conditions are not present, then aid will be ineffective and wasted.[24]

One of the difficulties of the old argument that LDCs could not enjoy economic progress without foreign aid is that it cannot explain how any country ever developed. Where was the external aid for the first developing countries? In fact, of course, LDCs today are in a far more enviable position from the point of view of development than were Western societies, since they can benefit from the external capital markets and enormous technological knowledge that were unavailable during the West’s rise to economic prosperity. Why had Western societies not been caught in a “vicious circle of poverty”?[25]

Since foreign aid inevitably amounts to a government-to-government transfer, ethnic and other tensions are likely to rise as competition for control of the increasingly lucrative coffers of the state apparatus grows correspondingly more intense. The results can be violent — Bauer cites such substantial Western aid recipients as Burundi, Kampuchea, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iraq, Nigeria, Pakistan, Tanzania, Uganda, Vietnam, and Zaire. Indeed the tensions thus introduced into political life can become positively frightful, including “large-scale expulsion and even massacre, tolerated, encouraged or perpetrated by the rulers. By helping to politicize life, aid has contributed to such policies and results.” Even when violence does not result, the consequences of the politicization of life are nevertheless all too real, as more and more people devote their energies to efforts to gain political favor (whether through bribery or other means) and less and less time to productive effort in satisfaction of consumer needs.[26]

Moreover, it is often the policies of recipient governments themselves that are to blame for the poverty of their people. For instance, they “expel the most productive groups from their countries, or restrict the inflow and the deployment of private capital or the expansion of certain types of enterprise, both domestic and foreign.” This self-inflicted poverty, in turn, is used to justify aid payments from the West. “Redistribution from rich to poor countries as an objective of policy brings it about that lower incomes resulting from the policies of Third World governments serve as grounds for taxing Western citizens for the direct benefit of those who brought about these lower incomes.”[27]

This is certainly true in the cases of Taiwan and South Korea, where “import-substitution” policies were instituted to protect high-cost domestic industries from foreign competition. It was only when, in anticipation of the end of American aid in 1965, the Taiwanese government began to move away from these policies that Taiwan’s “economic miracle” would begin to develop. The same is true for South Korea, which also began to encourage an inflow of foreign capital and technology.[28]

Indeed, it is theoretically unavoidable that import-substitution policies must do considerable damage to a country’s export sector. Since domestic markets are inevitably limited in the LDCs, any hope of economic progress there depends on a healthy export sector. At least three reasons can be cited in support of the claim that import substitution must harm exports. First, the protected good may be an important input in the production process of export-oriented industries. The higher prices that protectionism makes possible, therefore, put export industries at an artificial disadvantage vis-à-vis their competitors in countries that do not engage in such policies. Tariffs on steel may “protect” some steelworkers’ jobs, but at the expense of destroying jobs in all industries in which steel — artificially overpriced as a result of the tariff — is an input. Those industries are now less competitive in international trade. Such policies are all the more insidious because their negative consequences go essentially unnoticed, while their “benefits” are visible for all to see — everyone sees the jobs in the steel industry that the tariff has protected, but hardly anyone is even aware that the job losses in industries throughout the economy that use steel are attributable to the tariff.

Second, even if the good in question is a final consumption good and not a potential input in the production process of an export-oriented industry, the fact remains that in its artificially privileged position its production is able to bid scarce resources away from export industries, and therefore make inputs that much more expensive for the export sector.

And finally, there is the very real possibility of retaliation by other countries against the trade restrictions imposed by the LDC. Such retaliation, naturally, means that the export sector’s foreign markets are severely circumscribed or cut off altogether. No wonder exports grew so dramatically in Taiwan and South Korea (between 1962 and 1970, from 13.2 percent of GNP to 31.1 percent and from 5.2 percent to 15 percent, respectively) when import substitution was ended.[29]

Policy analyst Doug Bandow describes this policy of import substitution — that is, the use of tariffs and other government action to support domestic industry — as “one of the most harmful strategies” offered to developing countries. “Today,” he writes, “most development economists admit that this policy stifles growth. The world’s most rapidly growing economies, the East Asian states, have eschewed import substitution and have instead concentrated on producing inexpensive exports.”[30]

Import substitution has profoundly distorted the economies of LDCs. “The economic landscape in some developing countries,” writes the great economist Gottfried von Haberler, “is littered and disfigured by white elephants, modern factories unsuited to their productive resources, which either stand idle or operate inefficiently at exorbitant costs, with protection from imports or direct subsidies at the expense of the taxpayer and the traditional export sector — mainly agriculture.”[31] That this is not a path to prosperity is about the least one can say about it.

The case of Hong Kong, which ignored the terrible advice of the development mainstream, is especially instructive. With no local power sources (such as coal or oil), shortages of land and water, and few raw materials, Hong Kong appeared to be the classic example of a Third World locale that needed substantial injections of foreign assistance from Western governments. Yet without such aid, Hong Kong nevertheless became the envy of the world thanks to the explosion in economic progress and living standards made possible by its largely free economy.

At the very time some moralists were urging struggling families in the Western world to pay higher prices for goods from developing countries as a matter of moral obligation, Hong Kong was busily ignoring the implied suggestion that developing countries could get nowhere without special favors and condescension, and eventually created such a successful export sector that Britain and the United States actually began asking that small private-property regime to implement voluntary export restrictions![32] A better example of Richard Cobden’s point about the beneficial nature of trade would be difficult to find.

As Cobden might well have predicted, foreign aid, far from promoting freedom, has only entrenched statism and impoverishment. Those countries that have escaped less-developed status have, by and large, spurned state-led development and embraced free trade and the market order.

Cobden’s skepticism of the pretensions of the state, which would doubtless have made him a skeptic of the kind of foreign aid programs that have been pursued since World War II, helps to account for his aversion to military interventionism as well. Cobden was no pacifist, and like virtually all classical liberals he believed in defensive wars against invaders. But a foreign policy more ambitious than providing for legitimate defense threatened to bankrupt one’s own country — and, it might be added, had the potential to stir up potentially dangerous resentment and ill will elsewhere in the world.

In the United States, George Washington wrote in his Farewell Address the words that formed the backbone of early American foreign relations: “The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign nations is — in extending our commercial relations — to have with them as little political connection as possible.” It is not without significance that it was these words that Cobden used as the motto of his first book.[33]

Recall Frédéric Bastiat’s famous essay, “What Is Seen and What Is Not Seen.” There Bastiat had reminded readers to consider a particular economic policy not in terms of its short-run effects on one particular group, but rather in terms of its long-run consequences for society as a whole. The boy who breaks a neighbor’s window does not stimulate the economy by giving work to the glassmaker. That is only what is seen. What is not seen is what the homeowner would have purchased — but now has to forego — with the money he now has to spend to repair his window. The testimony of common sense is absolutely correct — destruction leads to impoverishment.

Bastiat’s insight can be applied to the conduct of foreign policy as well. At the end of World War I, for instance, what was seen was that Germany’s constitutional monarchy had been destroyed. This outcome, it was assumed in some circles, would lead to a more peaceful world in the long run, as the expansionist Germany of the Kaiser gave way to the representative and moderate Weimar regime.

The destruction of the Kaiser, then, is what was seen. What was not seen was how the future of Europe might have progressed in the absence of US intervention in World War I. Shortly after the Second World War, no less an authority than George Kennan wondered aloud, “Today if one were offered the chance of having back again the Germany of 1913 — a Germany run by conservative but relatively moderate people, no Nazis and no Communists — a vigorous Germany, full of energy and confidence, able to play a part again in the balancing-off of Russian power in Europe, in many ways it would not sound so bad.” In other words, US intervention in World War I, done with the best of intentions, had been an exceedingly costly mistake — a mistake of historic proportions.

Not without reason have historians pointed to the punitive Treaty of Versailles, which established peace terms with Germany at the end of World War I, as a major contributing factor to the Second World War. Marshall Foch had said, “This is not peace. It is an armistice for twenty years.” Hitler appealed to the patriotism and honor of the German people, who detested the Versailles Treaty, in support of his foreign policy.

Some historians, therefore, have argued that without US involvement, Britain and France would never have been in a position to impose such peace terms, and that without a Treaty of Versailles, it is much less likely that Hitler could have attracted the support he did. Woodrow Wilson had genuinely wanted to make the world safe for democracy, but he unwittingly contributed to the outbreak of a far more terrible conflict two decades later. Such is the complexity and unpredictability of foreign affairs.

The Vietnam War is another example. It is certainly praiseworthy to want to defend a country in danger of a Communist takeover, as South Vietnam certainly was. Yet this cannot be a serious statesman’s only consideration when considering the proper course of action.

It is hard to see in this case how following Cobden’s noninterventionist advice could have produced an outcome worse than what actually happened. The cost in money and lives was staggering, and the United States forfeited much of its international prestige by the way the war was conducted. And in 1975, Saigon fell anyway. All of a sudden, Cobden’s claim that serving as an example to mankind is the best way to encourage the spread of freedom no longer seems so naïve. It is certainly the only way to win the hearts and minds, so to speak, of weaker countries that inevitably view superpower military intervention with suspicion.

It is necessary, therefore, for the same kind of humility that limits state interference into the domestic economy to be applied to international affairs as well. As Cobden put it,

Public opinion must undergo a change; our ministers must no longer be held responsible for the everyday political quarrels all over Europe; nor, when an opposition journalist wishes to assail a foreign secretary, must he be suffered to taunt him with the neglect of the honor of Great Britain, if he should prudently abstain from involving her in the dissensions that afflict distant communities.[34]

Nations possess finite resources, and if the stable and livable societies of the world should devote themselves to “nation-building” and wars of liberation, not only might they actually wind up making matters worse, but more importantly they risk exhausting or bankrupting themselves in the process — and then what would be the world’s fate? “Would not the consequences of such professions and promises,” asked Gladstone, “be either the premature exhaustion of [England's] means, or a collapse in the day of performance?”[35]

This is what Cobden warned could happen to his own country, which is why he was so anxious to recommend a policy of nonintervention in the affairs of other nations.

England, by calmly directing her undivided energies to the purifying of her own internal institutions, to the emancipation of her commerce … would, by thus serving as it were for the beacon of other nations, aid more effectually the cause of political progression all over the continent than she could possibly do by plunging herself into the strife of European wars.[36]

Cobden was speaking here of peoples who shared a common historical and cultural inheritance; how much more would he have objected to plunging his country into the conflicts of still more distant lands, where the people involved may in fact consider secular democracy as something alien and despicable.

Cobden’s suggested foreign policy is, at root, profoundly compatible with the advice of early American statesmen. Decades earlier, Henry Clay had offered his countrymen the same warning about reckless foreign intervention that Cobden would issue in Britain:

By the policy to which we have adhered since the days of Washington … we have done more for the cause of liberty than arms could effect; we have shown to other nations the way to greatness and happiness…. Far better is it for ourselves, for Hungary, and the cause of liberty, that, adhering to our pacific system and avoiding the distant wars of Europe, we should keep our lamp burning brightly on this western shore, as a light to all nations, than to hazard its utter extinction amid the ruins of fallen and falling republics in Europe.

Politicians, Cobden feared, had an interest in keeping the misfortunes of foreigners always before the eyes of their constituents, perhaps to distract attention from their own shortcomings as governors. Cobden warned that “our aristocratic politicians make political capital out of the Italians, Poles, Circassians, etc., for purposes of their own, and not with any intention of promoting liberty anywhere. And this game will go on so long as the English public allow them to parade their sympathies for the grievances of foreigners instead of doing the work of liberty at home.”[37]

If peace is to be the lot of mankind in the decades and centuries to come, it will have to be accomplished through the kind of internationalism advocated by Richard Cobden and his intellectual progeny. The pursuit of peace will have to be governed not by slogans and superficiality but by a profound humility that acknowledges the inevitable limitations on what military intervention can accomplish, and that, instead of taking on the fruitless task of eradicating evil everywhere, acknowledges with other statesmen of the past that evil can be limited and confined but never entirely eliminated.

Richard Weaver, in his description of the typical American Southerner, might have been speaking about the classical-liberal statesman when he said that he “accepts the irremediability of a certain amount of evil and tries to fence it around instead of trying to stamp it out and thereby spreading it. His is a classical acknowledgment of tragedy and of the limits of power.”

Cobden, too, recognized and appreciated these limits. “I think,” he said, “as a corporate body, as a political community, if we can manage to do what is right and true and just to each other — if we can manage to carry out that at home, it will be about as much as we can do.”[38] Over two centuries ago, Charles Pinckney had spoken in a similar vein of the modest goals for which republican governments should strive: “If they are sufficiently active and energetic to rescue us from contempt, and preserve our domestic happiness and security, it is all we can expect from them — it is more than almost any other government ensures to its citizens.”

Although Cobden’s program would doubtless be stigmatized in our day as “isolationism,” free economic intercourse and cultural exchange with the world can hardly be described as isolation. In his day, in fact, Cobden was appropriately dubbed the “International Man.” And that, indeed, is what he was. Peace, free trade, and nonintervention — these ideas, Cobden believed, were not simply the ideological commitments of one particular party, but rather the necessary ingredients for the progress and flourishing of civilization.

Notes

[1] Ludwig von Mises, “Social Science and Natural Science,” in Money, Method, and the Market Process: Essays by Ludwig von Mises, ed. Richard M. Ebeling (Boston: Kluwer, 1990).

[2] Roy Porter, The Creation of the Modern World: The Untold Story of the British Enlightenment (New York: W.W. Norton, 2000), p. 387.

[3] Ludwig von Mises, Human Action: A Treatise on Economics (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1949), p. 240.

[4] Frédéric Bastiat, Economic Harmonies, ed. George B. de Huszar (Irvington-on-Hudson, NY: Foundation for Economic Education, 1997). Emphasis in original.

[5] Quoted in John Chodes, “Richard Cobden: Creator of the Free Market,” in The Industrial Revolution and Free Trade, ed. Burton W. Folsom (Irvington-on-Hudson, NY: Foundation for Economic Education, 1996), pp. 41–42.

[6] Ludwig von Mises, The Theory of Money and Credit (New Haven, Conn: Yale University Press, [1924] 1953), p. 395.

[7] Richard M. Ebeling, “Can Free Trade Really Prevent War?” Paper presented at the Austrian Scholars Conference, March 2002, Auburn, Alabama.

[8] Evelyn Iritani, “Iraq Fights Back with Commerce,” Los Angeles Times, November 11, 2002.

[9] Anthony Shadid, “Baghdad Trade Deals Seen Hindrance to U.S.,” Boston Globe, September 19, 2002, p. A1.

[10] Ralph Raico, “The Theory of Economic Development and the ‘European Miracle’: The Vindication of P.T. Bauer,” manuscript in possession of the author; a shorter version appeared in The Collapse of Development Planning, ed. Peter J. Boettke (New York: New York University Press, 1993).

[11] Jean Baechler, The Origins of Capitalism (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1976), ch. 7.

[12] Ibid., pp. 73, 77.

[13] Alfred F. Pollard, Wolsey: Church and State in Sixteenth-Century England (New York: Harper & Row, 1966 [1929]), p. 218.

[14] Robert Nisbet, The Quest for Community: A Study in the Ethics of Order and Freedom (San Francisco: Institute for Contemporary Studies, 1990 [1953]), p. 99.

[15] Bertrand de Jouvenel, Sovereignty: An Inquiry into the Political Good, trans. Daniel J. Mahoney and David DesRosiers (Indianapolis: Liberty Fund, 1997 [1957]), p. 208.

[16] On the many legal jurisdictions that existed during the Middle Ages, the classic study is Harold J. Berman, Law and Revolution: The Formation of the Western Legal Tradition (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1983); on the premodern notion of law as discovered rather than made, see de Jouvenel, Sovereignty, passim; Bruno Leoni, Freedom and the Law (Indianapolis: Liberty Fund, 1991 [1961]), esp. pp. 83ff.

[17] A.R. Myers, Parliaments and Estates in Europe to 1789 (New York: Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich, 1975), p. 29.

[18] de Jouvenel, Sovereignty, p. 226.

[19] Alan Rufus Waters, “Economic Growth and the Property Rights Regime,” in The Revolution in Development Economics, eds. James A. Dorn, Steve H. Hanke, and Alan A. Waters (Washington, D.C.: Cato Institute, 1998), p. 123.

[20] Doug Bandow, “The First World’s Misbegotten Economic Legacy to the Third World,” in The Revolution in Development Economics, p. 208.

[21] Tom Bethell, The Noblest Triumph: Property and Prosperity through the Ages (New York: St. Martin’s, 1998), p. 201.

[22] Bandow, “The First World’s Misbegotten Economic Legacy,” p. 223.

[23] Bethell, The Noblest Triumph, pp. 190–91. On foreign aid as an emollient, see, for example, Waters, “Economic Growth and the Property Rights Regime,” p. 118.

[24] Peter T. Bauer, Equality, the Third World and Economic Delusion (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1983), p. 100.

[25] Ibid., p. 99.

[26] Ibid., p. 104; George B.N. Ayittey, “The Failure of Development Planning in Africa,” in The Collapse of Development Planning, ed. Peter J. Boettke (New York: New York University Press, 1993), p. 173.

[27] Bauer, Equality, the Third World and Economic Delusion, p. 118.

[28] Melvyn Krauss, Development Without Aid: Growth, Poverty and Government (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1983), p. 160.

[29] Ibid., pp. 52–56.

[30] Bandow, “The First World’s Misbegotten Economic Legacy.”

[31] Gottfried von Haberler, International Trade and Economic Development (San Francisco: International Center for Economic Growth, 1988), p. 77.

[32] Robert A. Peterson, “Lessons in Liberty: Hong Kong, ‘Crown Jewel’ of Capitalism,” in The Industrial Revolution and Free Trade, p. 109.

[33] Ralph Raico, “The Case for an America First Foreign Policy,” in The Failure of America’s Foreign Wars, eds. Richard M. Ebeling and Jacob G. Hornberger (Fairfax, VA: Future of Freedom Foundation, 1996), p. 22.

[34] Richard Cobden, “Commerce is the Great Panacea.”

[35] William Harbutt Dawson, Richard Cobden and Foreign Policy (London: George Allen & Unwin, 1926), p. 93.

[36] Cobden, “Commerce is the Great Panacea.”

[37] Dawson, Richard Cobden and Foreign Policy, p. 100.

[38] Ibid., p. 104. Emphasis added.

Thomas E. Woods, Jr. (visit his website) is a senior fellow at the Mises Institute, where he will be teaching “The New Deal: History, Economics, and Law” this fall at the Mises Academy. He is the author of the New York Times bestseller Meltdown: A Free-Market Look at Why the Stock Market Collapsed, the Economy Tanked, and Government Bailouts Will Make Things Worse. His other recent books include 33 Questions About American History You’re Not Supposed to Ask, The Church and the Market: A Catholic Defense of the Free Economy, Nullification, and The Politically Incorrect Guide to American History (a New York Times bestseller). Send him mail. See Thomas E. Woods, Jr.’s article archives.

Economics

The Filter^: Austrian Economics – A Primer

I have posted some brief comments on Eamonn Butler’s excellent new Primer:

This primer does a great job condensing and summarising the Austrian school, but I fear it reinforces a stereotype that Austrians are backward looking.

For more, see The Filter^: Austrian Economics – A Primer.

Economics

Dr Eamonn Butler, “Austrian Economics – A Primer”

From the Adam Smith InstituteFollowing his introduction to Mises, Dr Eamonn Butler has released his latest book, Austrian Economics – A Primer. I recommend it strongly if you want to grasp the fundamentals of the Austrian School of Economics as quickly as possible: at just 118 pages, this pamphlet can be tackled in one sitting.

With Keynesian-inspired policies which ‘spend your way out of recession’ clearly not working, the Austrian School provides a better explanation for recent events than more ‘mainstream’ thinking, whether Keynesian or Monetarist.

Over the course of the book, Eamonn explains the Austrian view of the importance of human agency, values and knowledge in shaping the markets, that is social cooperation. Vitally, it explains the origin of the present cycle of boom and bust: the government’s cheap credit policies, which encouraged people to borrow and discouraged saving, creating an artificial boom that inevitably ended.

For many years, the Austrian School of Economics has been sidelined, but it’s great to see that it is now rising in popularity as people become increasingly critical of the way governments and central banks have handled the economy.

Butler’s systematic and simple yet comprehensive primer is a great addition to a stable which also includes The Austrian School: Market Order and Entrepreneurial Creativity by Jesus Huerta de Soto. While Huerta de Soto’s first-class book is perhaps aimed at a more technical audience, Butler has made the Austrian School highly approachable. A strength shared by both works is to be measured and inclusive where “Austrians” can be confrontational.

Eamonn has made a superb job of outlining this important school of thought and his book should prove a great success. You can buy it here.

Economics

THE GHOST OF MILTIADES

Sean Corrigan has sent us one poem we missed by Thomas Moore that has much relevance today. Enjoy.

Toby Baxendale.


“The Ghost of Miltiades” is about Greek war bonds. As noted earlier, Greece had been fighting for independence  from the Ottoman Turks since 1821.  In 1824-5, the fledgling Greek government obtained two large, high-interest from English banks, which were then turned and floated as bonds on the London market.  Andreas Luriottis was the Greek agent in London.  The whole thing did not end well and the value of the Greek bonds collapsed accordingly — ending with the “Benthamite” trader wailing about his subsequent losses and trying to sell them back to the Greeks. “Jerry” is Jeremy Bentham, of course.

[Ah quoties dubius Scriptis exarsit amator! – ah, how often has a message inflamed a doubting lover - Ovid]

The Ghost of Miltiades came at night,
And he stood by the bed of the Benthamite,
And he said, in a voice, that thrill’d the frame,
“If ever the sound of Marathon’s name
Hath fir’d they blood or flush’d thy brow,
Lover of Liberty, rise thee now!”

The Benthamite, yawning, left his bed –
Away to the Stock Exchange he sped,
And he found the Scrip of Greece so high,
That it fir’d his blood, it flush’d his eye,
And oh, ’twas a sight to see,
For never was Greek more Greek than he!
And still as the premium higher went,
His ecstas rose – so much per cent.,
(As we see in a glass, that tells the weather,
The heat and the silver rise together,)
And Liberty sung from the patriot’s lip,
While a voice from pocket whisper’d “Scrip!”
The Ghost of Miltiades came again; –
He smil’d as the pale moon smiles through rain,
For his soul was glad at the patriot strain;
(And poor, dear ghost — how little he knew
The jobs and the tricks of the Philhellene crew!)
“Blessings and thanks!” was all he said,
Then, melting away, like a night-dream, fled!

The Benthamite hears — amaz’d that ghosts
Could be such fools — and away he posts,
A patriot still? Ah no, ah no –
Goddess of Freedom, thy scrip is low,
And, warm and fond as they lovers are,
Thou triest their passion, when under par.
The Benthamite’s ardour fast decays,
By turns he weeps, and swears, and prays,
And wishes the d–l had Crescent and Cross,
Ere he had been forc’d to sell at a loss.
They quote him the Stock of various nations,
But, spite of his classical associations,
Lord how he loathes the Greek quotations!

“Who’ll buy my Scrip! Who’ll buy my Scrip?”
Is now the theme of the patriot’s lip,
And he runs to tell how hard his lot is
To Messrs. Orlando and Luriottis,
And says, “Oh Greece, for Liberty’s sake,
Do buy my Scrip and I vow to break
Those dark, unholy bonds of thine –
If you’ll only consent to buy up mine!”
The Ghost of Miltiades came once more; –
His brow, like the night, was lowering o’er,
And he said, with a look that flash’d dismay,
“Of Liberty’s foes the worst are they
Who turn to a trade her cause divine,
And gamble for gold on Freedom’s shrine!”
Thus saying, the Ghost, as he took his flight,
Gave a Parthian kick to the Benthamite,
Which sent him, whimpering, off to Jerry
And vanish’d away to the Stygian ferry!

— Thomas Moore, 1828

Economics

Dying of Money – or Laughter?

Sean Corrigan has just sent me his views on the book “Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations” which Andy Duncan wrote about here, setting off a number of interesting comments. Sean as ever helps put our thoughts straight on the matter. One does wonder if Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and the hordes of City people have actually read it.

Toby Baxendale.


Firstly, though I have to confess that I do use ‘velocity’ as a shorthand, now and again, the idea of using this aggregate twice-removed as more than a crude heuristic, much less as the lynchpin of one’s reasoning as Parsson seems to, is very suspect – see Mises and Rothbard on the topic.

Your ‘Dying of money’ man thinks that if the use of money in exchange were totally ‘efficient’, any amount of it would be inflationary  – since ‘velocity’ would be infinite – and, conversely, that if all people wanted it for was as a store of ‘value’, we would need an infinite amount of it, since velocity would be zero.

The first seems to envisage a kind of grand, instantaneous goods clearing house which, however, does not do away with the double coincidence of wants argument (since even the most transient clearing house receipts would be needed to open up trade to all buyers and sellers and so would effectively BE money); the second would mean that money had ceased to be money (i.e., that favoured present good which acts as the medium of exchange) in any meaningful sense of the word -and probably that it would therefore rapidly lose its value, in any case.

To say, also, that the later stages of Weimar inflation were all about ‘velocity’ - itself a mysterious, mass hysterical construct under his analysis – when Havenstein was publicly bragging about how many more bank notes (of increasingly surreal denominations) were being printed is only to confuse the fact that the mark was losing real value faster than it was being created.

He further seems to think that, given a stable ‘velocity’, an increase in money supply commensurate with an augmented supply of what he loosely terms ‘real values’, is therefore not inflationary – hence he would have had no objection to 1920s America, 1980s Japan, or the West in much of the late 1990s and early 2000s – and so would have been a typical Real Bills enthusiast of monstrous misallocations of capital.

In most of the work, he shows himself a slave to his oft-quoted Friedmanite style of aggregative thinking and ignores Austrian insights into the role of relative pricing, injection effects, and the ideal that improved productivity should be met with proportionately falling prices of those particular goods if we are to avoid confusing entrepreneurial assessments.

Apparently, also, if the government issues debt during an inflation, this is a good thing, for it somehow retards its effect (sic), and, conversely, a government surplus is inflationary by, wait for it, ‘reducing the supply of real value’!

My reading of his argument is that interest is not the price of money (true enough), but money the price of interest (!) though he gives no explanation as to why interest itself arises (hint: time preference).

As a result of this, fixed interest (contracts), he argues, are ‘just as much as gold, a barbarous relic of the 19th century’. Much better to have equity contracts (partly true) or constant-value lending ensured by reference to a price index… Crankdom at its finest.

Government’s main task of management, he goes on, is to use tax policy to introduce ‘balance’ into the flow between saving and consumption – each of ‘equal merit… and contributing equally to well-being’.  An Austrian need really look no further than this for a critical concentration of both economic and ethical error.

Late stage capitalism has, of course, a tendency to ‘excess’ saving (why? we may ask in vain), so Keynes’ only mistake was to argue for more government investment, as an offset, rather than using fiscal policy to penalise saving and promote consumption.

Government expenditure, it seems, is also a ‘national dividend’ and it is only right that the state should ‘give away purchasing power to help support consumption’ and it is mere ‘nostalgia’ to pine for a day where everyone looked after himself and the state had little or no involvement.

No, Leviathan should provide a national dividend by giving away all basic services freely: food, clothing, housing, and medical care – out of the ’surplus prosperity’ – allowing people to concentrate ‘only’ on working to buy whatever else they need and not having to worry about being rendered technologically redundant.

I am only half way through this tract and already I have found more fallacies, inconsistencies, and shallow-thinking being marshalled behind a grandiose plan of reform, than I have seen in a long while. HG Wells would be proud of Parsson.

No wonder this tosh is out of print!!

All I can say is that this is typical of Evans-Pritchard’s Yellow journalism: everything we do is wrong and the whole system is always about to implode. But while we cannot let the Keynesians expand debt and deficits limitlessly, neither can we allow those horrible Liquidationists to cut back or, very soon, the 1930s will look like a picnic. We will have some form or other of ‘Flation (X-flation, perhaps) on some unspecified timescale or another – but, or course, it will be of an unimaginable magnitude when it does arrive, unless we stop everything we are doing now and yet intensify everything we are doing, at the same time.

One only regrets that Murray Rothbard is not still around to skewer the idiocies of such Swiftian buffoons as Parsson and his modern day brethren, AEP, Wolf, Kaletsky, Krugman, and Stiglitz – and to rebut the opposing follies of the self-loathing Guardianistas and Dollar-doom Michigan Militia, in general.

As for us, while it’s always nice to think we are not an isolated remnant in the cause, perhaps we might be just a tad more considered in our endorsement of those who ostensibly seem to share some of our concerns, but who either lack intellectual consistency to draw the correct conclusions from them, or who use a shared criticism of some aspects of the modern institutional setting as the point of departure for a programme totally antithetical to our aims.

Economics

Peter Schiff: Unemployment compensation — the new early retirement & 3rd rail of American politics

Mr Schiff discusses the dead-cat bounce of the Dollar index this week before moving onto the growth of unemployment culture in the US, and the moral hazard of the US instituting semi-permanent unemployment benefit [something we are very familiar with in the UK].

Businesses in the US are now having difficulty finding people to do low-paying work, he claims, because potential workers will then lose their unemployment benefit.  Schiff calculates that an unemployed US person can now ‘earn’ $4,000 Dollars a month by keeping out of official employment, and that the incentive of having this ‘free’ income and all of the associated leisure time may even be tempting some people into becoming deliberately unemployed.

[No, surely not?]

It seems the Obama administration is hellishly bent on creating the same perverse anti-work welfare incentives and socialist poverty traps that we ‘enjoy’ in Europe, where unemployed people face huge regressive marginal taxes on their earnings from any new job, which becomes a massive incentive to remain permanently on the dole, particularly if your earning potential is at the lower end of the scale and you feel lost within the tax credit benefit labyrinth constructed by Byzantine bureaucrats.

[Which even someone with a PhD in quantum physics would struggle to deal with, here in the UK.]

Well done, America.