Why banks are not lenders as such?

 

According to the popular way of thinking the subject matter of lending is banking activity. It is banks, so it is held that are responsible for the expansion of lending also known as credit. On this way of thinking given that the economic prosperity is associated with the increase in credit, banks are seen as an important factor in all this. However, is it the case?

 

The meaning of credit

For instance, take a farmer Joe that produced two kg of potatoes. For his own consumption, he requires one kg, and the rest he decides to lend for one year to a farmer Bob. The unconsumed one kg of potatoes that he agrees to lend is his real savings.

 

Note that the precondition of lending is that there must be real savings first. Lending must be fully backed up by real savings.

 

By lending one kg of potatoes to Bob, Joe agrees to give up for one year the ownership over these potatoes. In return, Bob provides Joe with a written promise that after one year he will repay 1.1kg of potatoes. The 0.1kg constitutes an interest.

 

What we have here is an exchange of one kg of present potatoes for 1.1kg of potatoes in a one-year time. Both Joe and Bob have entered this transaction voluntarily because they both have reached the conclusion that it would serve their objectives.

The introduction of money will not alter the essence of what lending is all about. Instead of lending one kg of potatoes Joe will first (sell) exchange his one kg of potatoes for money, let us say for $10.

 

Joe may now decide to lend his money to another farmer John for one year at the going interest rate of 10%. John the farmer in turn buys a piece of equipment with the borrowed $10, which lifts his production.

 

Observe that the introduction of money did not change the fact that real savings precede the act of lending. When a saver lends money, what he in fact lends to borrowers are final consumer goods that he did not consume.

 

Credit unbacked by real savings results in economic impoverishment

When credit is not backed by real savings, then no real savings have been exchanged in this mirage transaction. The borrower that holds the empty money, so to speak, exchanges them for goods and services.

 

What emerges here is an exchange of nothing for something, or consumption of goods, which is not backed up by a corresponding production. This leads to the diversion of real wealth from wealth generating activities towards the holders of credit, generated out of “thin air”.

 

Obviously, such types of credit undermines the production of real wealth. Needless to say that the weakening of the production of real wealth diminishes the borrowers’ ability to repay their debt.

 

Fractional reserve banking as the source of money out of “thin air”

Ordinary lenders will find it difficult to lend something that they do not have. However, things are different once we introduce into our analysis fractional reserve banking. The existence of the system of fractional reserve banking permits commercial banks to generate credit not backed by real savings i.e. the generation of credit out of “thin air.”

 

For instance, a farmer Joe sells his saved one kg of potatoes for $10. He then deposits this $10 with the Bank A. Note that the $10 are fully backed by the saved one kg of potatoes. Also, observe that Joe is exercising his demand for money by holding them in the demand deposits of the bank A. (Joe could have also exercised his demand for money by holding the money at home in a jar, or keep it under the mattress).

 

Whenever a bank takes a portion of deposited money without the owner of the deposit’s consent and lends it out, this sets in motion serious trouble.

 

Let us say that bank A lends $5 to Bob by taking $5 out of Joe’s deposit. Remember that Joe still exercises his demand for $10. He has unlimited claim over his $10. This means that whenever he deems it necessary he is entitled to take the $10 out of his deposit.

 

Also, note that no additional real savings back up the loaned $5. Again remember that Joe still has unlimited claim over his deposited $10.

 

Once Bob the borrower of the $5 uses the borrowed money he in fact engages in an exchange of nothing for something. The reason being because the $5 is not backed by any real savings – it is empty money.

 

What we have here is $15 that is only backed up by $10 proper. (Remember that the $10 are fully backed by one kg of potatoes – real savings).

 

Credit out of “thin air” causes the disappearance of money

When loaned money are fully backed by savings on the day of the loan’s maturity, it is returned to the original lender. Bob – the borrower of $10 – will pay back on the maturity date the borrowed sum plus interest to the bank.

 

The bank in turn will pass to Joe the lender his $10 plus interest adjusted for bank fees. To put it briefly, the money makes a full circle and goes back to the original lender. Note again that the bank here is just a mediator, it is not a lender so the borrowed money is returned to the original lender.

 

In contrast, when credit originates out of “thin air” and is returned on the maturity day to the bank, this leads to a withdrawal of money from the economy i.e. to the decline in the money stock.

The reason being because in this case we never had a saver/lender, since this credit emerged out of “thin air”. Using our example of bank making a loan of $5 to Bob, we must realize that the bank took the $5 out of Joe’s demand deposit without Joe’s consent to this.

 

Joe never agreed to lend the $5 to Bob since he continues to exercise unlimited claim over his deposited $10. (Remember that Joe saved the one kg of potatoes, which he in turn exchanged for the $10, and in turn deposited with the Bank A).

 

(Note that if Joe were to agree to lend his $5 to Bob then all that we would have here is a transfer of $5 from Joe to Bob. In this case, the $5 loaned money to Bob is fully backed by real savings. Remember that the $5 are part of Joe’s $10 deposit, which is fully backed by one kg of saved potatoes).

 

Now, when Bob repays the $5, the money leaves the economy since the bank is not required to transfer it to the original lender. There is no original lender here – the bank has created the $5 loan out of nothing. Again, when the bank generates a new deposit for $5 whilst real savings do not back this deposit – we do not have here any original lender/saver.

 

Credit out of “thin air” sets platform for non-productive activities

Observe again that this extra $5 of new money sets in motion an exchange of nothing for something. This provides a platform for various non-productive activities that prior to the generation of credit out of “thin air” would not have emerged.

 

As long as banks continue to expand credit out of “thin air”, various non-productive activities continue to expand. Once however, the continuous generation of credit out of “thin air” lifts the pace of real-wealth consumption above the pace of real-wealth production, the positive flow of real savings is arrested and a decline in the pool of real savings is set in motion.

 

Consequently, the performance of various activities starts to deteriorate and banks’ bad loans start to increase.  (Please note that the heart of economic activity is real savings).

 

In response to this, banks curtail their lending activities and this in turn sets in motion a decline in the money stock. (Remember the money stock declines once loans generated out of “thin air” repaid and not renewed).

 

The fall in the money stock begins to undermine various non-productive bubble activities i.e. an economic recession emerges. (Note that non-productive activities cannot stand on their own feet. In order to support themselves they require the assistance of the credit out of “thin air”. The credit out of “thin air” diverts to them real wealth from real wealth producers).

 

According to the popular view held by many mainstream economists, a severe economic slump also known as an economic depression is on account of the sharp fall in the money supply. This way of thinking originates from the Chicago School championed by Professor Milton Friedman.

 

We suggest that depression is not caused by the collapse in the money stock as such, but comes in response to the shrinking pool of real savings on account of previous easy monetary policy.

 

The shrinking pool of real savings leads to the decline in the money stock. Consequently, even if the central bank were to be successful in preventing the fall of the money stock, this cannot prevent a depression if the pool of real savings is declining.

 

 

Conclusions

To conclude then, banks do not lend as such, they are merely facilitators of the lending of real savings.  Banks facilitate the flow of real savings by introducing the ‘suppliers’ of real savings to the ‘demanders’. In this sense by fulfilling the role of the intermediary, banks are an important factor in the process of real wealth formation.

 

Once however, banks begin to engage in the lending activity by attempting to replace genuine real lenders/savers, this sets in motion the menace of the boom-bust cycle and economic impoverishment. Again, it must be realized that it is not possible to increase genuine credit without the enlargement in real savings.

5 Comments

  • james murray says:

    Dr Shostak

    I believe you say that:

    Fractional Reserve Banking allows the savings deposited in banks to be a fraction of what they lend out.

    And, every time the banks make a loan, the proportion of that loan that is not backed by deposited ‘real money’ in a bank is,in effect, ‘created out of thin air’.

    This ‘created money’ is added to the money supply of that country.

    And when the loan is repaid that proportion of the loan that was not backed by savings is extinguished from the money supply.

    That much I can agree with and was admitted by the BoE in 2014 first quarter bulletin.

    However, you would have us believe that that which causes a depression/recession is a reduction in the level of savings.

    So, even if the banks were massively confident and quite willing to lend out to all an sundry, that they had less savings deposited in their vaults would cause a recession etc even of they kept on lending and even fed on their confidence and showed it by lending an even greater multiple of their savings deposits.

    Really?

    The money is being created in the continuing or increasing lending.

    The total demand for manufactured goods and services is being maintained.

    The suppliers/manufacturers of such goods/services are kept in business.

    No one is rendered unemployed.

    What is it that creates the recession.

    Looking back up it is not the reductions in savings, it is the level of confidence of the banks.

    If the banks get cold feet and reduce lending, the amount of money in people’s pockets is reduced and demand falls and so recession.

    It is the level of confidence in the minds of the banks that is the controller of economic activity not savings levels.

    Those levels may well affect banking confidence but not necessarily.

    Where have I gone wrong in my analysis?

  • Matt Taylor says:

    Good article, but I find the idea of loans “backed” by savings unhelpful. Where the bank acts as intermediary, the savings of one person are lent to another. This is the same as saying that the borrower gets control of some resources made available by the saver. That is honest business. When the bank creates money by writing a loan agreement, it effectively prints counterfeit money and the borrower gets a claim on resources that no-one has agreed to make available. That would be fraud in any sensible legal system. Without the cartelisation of banking by the State, using the central bank, no bank would get away with this for long.

  • James Murray says:

    Matt Taylor,

    Regretfully, in early 18th century, the banks pulled a a fast one on the country – and by implication, on the World.

    The UK Government made damn sure that no one could mint their own coins or notes – even now Plod would be down PDQ to feel your collar if you tried to do this.

    However, the banks introduced the concept of cheques which, to all intents and purposes, were currency equivalents.

    And as above article traces, they received banking licences so that the huge amount of money on their books at any one time was permitted by the Government to be loaned out on the assumption that the deposits would not be called in – there would not be a ‘run on the banks’ with depositors wanting their money back immediately when the banks had already lent out that money.

    It became worse and as said above, the banks were no longer obliged to back their loans with deposits and could take a chance and, in effect, lend out what they wished.

    At the height of the 2008 crash, banks were lending out fifty time as much money as they had deposited.

    This has to change.

    Jim Murray

  • I actually made out a list on my own blog of economists (including a few Nobels) who have opposed money creation by private banks. See also the comments after my article, as my list was not complete, and a commentator added two or three more.

    https://ralphanomics.blogspot.com/2019/10/some-of-economists-who-oppose-right-of.html

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