The shape of the yield curve and the state of the economy
On Wednesday August 14 2019, participants in financial markets were shocked by the news that the differential between the yield on the 10-year…
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Does the GDP growth have anything to do with true economic growth?
To gain insight into the state of an economy, most financial experts and commentators rely on a statistic called the Gross Domestic Product…
Read MoreDoes the idea of price stability make sense ?
The idea of price stability originates from the view that volatile changes in the price level prevent individuals from clearly seeing market signals…
Read MoreFed chairman and the Phillips curve
On July 11, 2019 before the Senate Banking Committee, the Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said that the relationship between unemployment and…
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Is low inflation a threat to the US economy?
“When interest rates are low central banks don’t have much room to maneuver to deal with a crisis”, The New York Fed President…
Read MoreCan expectations undo the validity of the Mises’s business cycle theory?
According to Ludwig von Mises’s Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the artificial lowering of interest rates by the central bank leads to a…
Read MoreThe illusion of the Keynesian multiplier
For most economists and financial commentators the heart of economic growth is the increase in the demand for goods and services. It is…
Read MoreWho determines interest rates?
For most experts the central bank determines short- term interest rates by setting the target to the benchmark policy rate such as the…
Read MoreMaking sense of correlations in economics
Often we observe that two pieces of data, which are not supposed to have any relationship, appear to have very high visual correlation….
Read MoreStatistics and the facts of economic reality
The government’s releases of various economic indicators such as GDP, CPI and unemployment receive wide coverage in the media. In a measured and…
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