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Colin Lloyd

Colin Lloyd

Colin has worked in the financial and commodity markets since 1981. He started his career in physical commodities moving on to a futures and options brokerage in 1987. Here he focused on servicing bank proprietary traders, global macro and relative-value fixed income hedge funds together with managed futures advisors. He was also instrumental in the development of interest rate and credit default swaps businesses. In December 2013 he launched a macroeconomic newsletter – In the Long Run – focussing on macroeconomics and financial markets. He has recently became a director of AAIN - Asian Alternative Investments Network – a non-profit industry group with which he has been involved since its inception in 2007.

A warning knell from the housing market – inciting a riot?
Economics7 February 18<4 February 18

A warning knell from the housing market – inciting a riot?

Global residential real estate prices continue to rise but momentum is slowing Prices in Russia continue to fall but Australian house prices look set…

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The risk of a correction in the equity bull market
Economics25 January 18<21 January 18

The risk of a correction in the equity bull market

Rising commodity prices, including oil, are feeding through to PPI Unemployment data suggests wages may begin to rise faster Federal Reserve tightening will continue,…

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China – leading indicator? Stocks, credit policy, rebalancing and money supply
Economics14 December 17<9 December 17

China – leading indicator? Stocks, credit policy, rebalancing and money supply

Chinese 10yr bond yields have been rising steadily since October 2016. They never reached the low or negative levels of Japan or Germany. 1yr…

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Bull market breather or beginning of the end?
Economics29 November 17<26 November 17

Bull market breather or beginning of the end?

Stock markets have finally taken a breather over the last fortnight, although the S&P 500 has made a new, marginal, high this week. Cause…

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European Bonds – warning knell or cause for celebration?
Economics18 October 17<14 October 17

European Bonds – warning knell or cause for celebration?

Greek bonds have been the best performer in the Eurozone year to date IMF austerity is still in place but there are hopes they…

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Is Chinese growth about to falter?
Economics20 September 17<17 September 17

Is Chinese growth about to falter?

The IMF revised Chinese growth forecasts higher in July – were they premature? Retail sales, industrial output and fixed investment have slowed The Real…

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Does the rising price of industrial metals herald the beginning of the next commodity super-cycle?
Economics15 September 17<11 September 17

Does the rising price of industrial metals herald the beginning of the next commodity super-cycle?

Super-cycle theory In a 2012 paper for the United Nations/DESA – Super-cycles of commodity prices since the mid-nineteenth century – Bilge Erten and José Antonio Ocampo…

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Has Bitcoin come of age?
Economics26 July 17<24 July 17

Has Bitcoin come of age?

Bitcoin (BTC) has tripled and then halved since late March Even at BTCUSD 2000 total issuance amounts to $33bln Historic volatility is high (80%)…

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Central Bank balance sheet adjustment – a path to enlightenment?
Economics20 June 17<19 June 17

Central Bank balance sheet adjustment – a path to enlightenment?

Central Bank balance sheet adjustment – a path to enlightenment? The balance sheets of the big four Central Banks reached $18.4bln last month The…

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Trade and Protectionism post globalisation
Free Trade7 June 17<4 June 17

Trade and Protectionism post globalisation

Protectionism is on the increase among developed nations The benefits of free-trade have been most evident in developing countries Short-term effects on financial markets…

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