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Colin Lloyd

Colin has worked in the financial and commodity markets since 1981. He started his career in physical commodities moving on to a futures and options brokerage in 1987. Here he focused on servicing bank proprietary traders, global macro and relative-value fixed income hedge funds together with managed futures advisors. He was also instrumental in the development of interest rate and credit default swaps businesses. In December 2013 he launched a macroeconomic newsletter – In the Long Run – focussing on macroeconomics and financial markets. He has recently became a director of AAIN - Asian Alternative Investments Network – a non-profit industry group with which he has been involved since its inception in 2007.

Leveraged Loans – History Rhyming?
Economics6 December 19

Leveraged Loans – History Rhyming?

By Colin Lloyd

  Despite three Federal Reserve rate cuts, leveraged loan credit quality is rapidly declining Covenant-lite issues now account for more than 80% of US$…

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Fragility – what the US money-market squeeze means for the future
Economics28 October 19

Fragility – what the US money-market squeeze means for the future

By Colin Lloyd

  Last month’s squeeze in overnight domestic US$ funding rattled markets The Fed responded rapidly but the problem has been growing for some time…

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Chinese currency manipulation – Trump’s petard
Free Trade28 August 19

Chinese currency manipulation – Trump’s petard

By Colin Lloyd

The risk that the Sino-US trade war morphs into an international currency war has risen The US$ Index is up since 2010 but its…

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Low yield, no yield, negative yield – Buy now but don’t forget to sell
Economics12 July 19

Low yield, no yield, negative yield – Buy now but don’t forget to sell

By Colin Lloyd

  The amount of negative yielding fixed securities has hit a new record The Federal Reserve and the ECB are expected to resume easing…

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Economics3 July 19

Interest Rates, Global Value Chains and Bank Reserve Requirements

By Colin Lloyd

  Interest Rates, Global Value Chains and Bank Reserve Requirements Global Value Chains have suffered since 2009 Despite low interest rates, financial costs remain…

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Trade Wars, the prospects for freer trade and the impact on asset prices
Free Trade3 June 19

Trade Wars, the prospects for freer trade and the impact on asset prices

By Colin Lloyd

  Will the Sino-US trade war breed contagion? Will the dispute trigger a global recession? Has the era of freer trade ended? Will asset…

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Debasing the Baseless – Modern Monetary Theory
Economics13 May 19

Debasing the Baseless – Modern Monetary Theory

By Colin Lloyd

  Populist politicians are turning to Modern Monetary Theory Fiscal stimulus has not led to significant inflation during the last decade MMT is too…

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Global Real Estate – Has the tide begun to recede?
Economics3 May 19

Global Real Estate – Has the tide begun to recede?

By Colin Lloyd

  Despite the fourth quarter shakeout in stocks, real estate values keep rising Financial conditions remain key, especially in a low rate environment Isolated…

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China in transition – From manufacturer to consumer
Economics5 April 19

China in transition – From manufacturer to consumer

By Colin Lloyd

  China is evolving from a current account surplus to deficit country Increased domestic consumption and dis-saving by an ageing population drives the trend…

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Capital Flows – is a reckoning nigh?
Economics18 March 19

Capital Flows – is a reckoning nigh?

By Colin Lloyd

  Borrowing in Euros continues to rise even as the rate of US borrowing slows The BIS has identified an Expansionary Lower Bound for…

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